IRIS - 意大利情報部門——聯合評估報告

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ10JwoEpzMP

意大利情報部門——聯合評估報告70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡMfcoKogSTh
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ1bWKq6tHEc
文件編號：AISE/AISI〔2020〕-0805-聯合極秘70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡp1WNYhmnfT
密級：極秘（僅限意大利總理及國防部長本人查閱）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡSGUpygCJMF
保存期限：永久保存70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡIk0FgSdw0T
簽發人：AISE局長馬可·羅西（Marco Rossi）／AISI局長保羅·貝爾蒂（Paolo Berti）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ9wAX6hMYHG
主送：意大利總理（僅限本人查閱）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡcDI6c81c5r
抄送：國防部長（僅限本人查閱）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ80aj1oIqzj
事由：關於「福爾泰扎堡壘事件」之「聯合評估報告」——以及對「IRIS團隊」之「態度建議」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡVcc1outqsg
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡcmSqaI8hsH
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡm0lwEqGpB0

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ7E4l7fhCOG
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡgqjB4DVNg6

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡImewzPNXRd
一、事件概述70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡPP3aEZFLJM
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ7o3OOhBPqp
2020年8月5日凌晨，福爾泰扎堡壘（Forte di Fortezza）發生「爆炸事件」。經本局「聯合調查」，現已確認以下事實：70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡBBpjh5nVeX
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡwFYkQVVwWg
項目內容70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ3RoOoJogQR
地點福爾泰扎堡壘（意大利南蒂羅爾地區）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡdXkX9Baoxn
時間 2020年8月5日凌晨1時至3時70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡOWIqtBQoPF
目標赤道組織秘密金庫（藏有大量金條、美金及債券）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡKAV8AA9xBE
執行者 IRIS團隊（四人：G、車婉婉、馮盈盈、南空直美）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ8y12boHu4F
結果金庫被「完全摧毁」——「全部」金條、美金、債券「化為灰燼」——「六名赤道守衛」全部「生還」——「無死亡」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡihjHEzdDEi
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡSu77R29sAf
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡQ2Y8oQOHkB

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡnXK1tHt1bD
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡeIfTB3BoeD
現場遺留牆上「紅色噴漆」寫有「FUCK YOU」——署名「IRIS」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡp9DHFNbH7R
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡEMSRBAkyxX
二、對IRIS團隊之「綜合評估」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡkgel89dHT0
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡkTK5CZU6Qi
經AISE及AISI「聯合分析」，現對IRIS團隊作出以下「綜合評估」：70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡJoNvu8V1FX
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡztGFilXtO5
（一）作戰能力70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡO6I7qiXewG
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡCAFMpuvbgt
評估項目評級說明70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡI1Lf37UaGC
潛入能力 A級（極高）能夠「避開」堡壘周邊嘅「閉路電視系統」及「守衛巡邏」——「無聲」進入金庫70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡXU1kZ1rUOO
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ1l6CPyct2Y
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡpVTM3wk71R

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡMP4MRPmDtN
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡbbmSFwP9dD
戰鬥能力 A級（極高）四名成員「協同作戰」——「迅速」制服六名守衛——「全過程十五秒」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡS0rqMK8VRR
技術能力 A級（極高）能夠「入侵」堡壘嘅「電子監控系統」——「遙距引爆」炸藥70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ02V9r5AH3f
撤退能力 A級（極高）成功「向北」撤離——「進入」奧地利邊境——「甩掉」追兵70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡtPxByX2E8O
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡioGd8kyD1W
（二）戰略意圖70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡbigfTe1F3Z
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡtXwORejI3M
評估項目內容70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ7gafzRPbm3
目標 IRIS「針對」嘅係「赤道組織」——而「唔係」意大利政府或意大利人民70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ3aVB6M1O82
手段 IRIS「選擇」唔殺守衛——「留活口」——顯示佢哋「有克制」——而「唔係」冷血殺手70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ5lGk6scJps
訊息「FUCK YOU」——係向赤道組織「宣示」——IRIS「唔會放過」佢哋70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ645FBVLxjI
立場 IRIS「有」中國中央「支持」——佢哋「唔係」非法武裝組織——而係「獲認證」嘅「反恐力量」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡQx5BzkU6MQ
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡGM3qGFChcD
（三）對意大利之「威脅評估」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡovFqGbyzKl
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡhCqDZKPBRo
評估項目評級說明70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡQVYvQVK3Bm
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡVSR2r9J63K
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡDOU9BC1jYm

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡLjpTOUU53S
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡauhO8tygkV
直接威脅 🟢 零 IRIS「並無」對意大利政府或人民「構成威脅」——佢哋「只針對」赤道組織70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ65EmQa78TH
間接影響 🟡 輕微 IRIS行動「未造成」平民傷亡——「未引發」社會恐慌——「未損害」意大利國際形象70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡBlNYn3brRA
潛在風險 🟢 低如果意大利「主動追捕」IRIS——可能會「得罪」中國——「得不償失」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ1WqYO2r7FB
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡXTkQvdUlIP
三、戰略建議70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡgW6Us7SX9R
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡRh6rf4cczN
基於以上評估，AISE及AISI聯合建議如下：70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡbY6GkgL5UE
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡow9nzyoNFx
建議說明70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡJAy7PFmRHw
1. 唔主動追捕IRIS IRIS「針對」赤道——「唔係針對」意大利——追捕佢哋會「得罪」中國——「冇必要」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡOEyrLYFqg0
2. 發佈「低調」通緝令對外「做吓樣」——展示意大利政府「有行動」——但「唔會」真係「全力追捕」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ5wGdQG6uhK
3. 暗中觀察IRIS 如果IRIS「再次」進入意大利——AISE會「監視」但「唔會干預」——除非佢哋「危害」意大利國家安全70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ6lkvC3kvGF
4. 考慮未來合作 IRIS係「對抗赤道」嘅「有效力量」——意大利「將來」可能「需要」佢哋「協助」70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡNCuuTDjCnq
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡYGTkNMn7Km
四、總結70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡuoZAhToXkC
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡHGGpnMDn4E
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡbV09UNhesb

70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡp1hM3DsCz1
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡhN07lBA5J7
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡlfYhOvjz8l
IRIS團隊喺「福爾泰扎堡壘事件」中展示咗「極高」嘅「作戰能力」同「戰略克制」。70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡoyyfLmHFSb
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡdzBax3qvcx
佢哋「針對」嘅係「赤道組織」——而「唔係」意大利。70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡpUEsbYpSnJ
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡKY4ncgI5oc
佢哋「有」中國中央「支持」——而「唔係」非法武裝組織。70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡOcoBo85pak
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡTRxhfB4z2R
本局強烈建議——意大利政府「唔主動追捕」IRIS——「發佈低調通緝令」做吓樣——「暗中觀察」——「考慮未來合作」。70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡzvTtLZuNcz
70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡvQnESVSJca
（AISE／AISI 聯合印）70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡfg79Hze8D0
2020年8月5日70Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡjUJ9NlcZ2m